Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 1.023450 1.191940 1.372815 1.580667 1.812141 2.061225 2.348735
2025-06-08 0.732449 0.965139 1.238274 1.578717 1.987653 2.458993 3.039025
2025-06-15 0.575840 0.848492 1.194724 1.656836 2.246899 2.964334 3.890796
2025-06-22 0.450797 0.738816 1.132260 1.690422 2.441638 3.396689 4.679297
2025-06-29 0.342970 0.625555 1.040202 1.663338 2.543368 3.707559 5.325349
2025-07-06 0.276801 0.557113 0.995720 1.688670 2.707876 4.101110 6.091421
2025-07-13 0.225264 0.499251 0.955106 1.709473 2.860515 4.480331 6.850744
2025-07-20 0.186476 0.453704 0.924900 1.738589 3.021793 4.874482 7.643126
2025-07-27 0.153285 0.410083 0.889789 1.753006 3.157513 5.234344 8.398384
2025-08-03 0.118974 0.354717 0.824306 1.707824 3.193717 5.446261 8.946819
2025-08-10 0.096694 0.318937 0.788228 1.706624 3.296024 5.757119 9.646275
2025-08-17 0.075071 0.277723 0.734141 1.665956 3.327985 5.958882 10.188471
2025-08-24 0.061212 0.252564 0.709982 1.680066 3.457038 6.324342 11.002762
2025-08-31 0.048172 0.224819 0.675570 1.671124 3.546309 6.632654 11.745396
2025-09-07 0.042452 0.217347 0.685439 1.749696 3.793932 7.205145 12.915365
2025-09-14 0.035274 0.201984 0.673939 1.783408 3.962398 7.655167 13.909170
2025-09-21 0.026808 0.177413 0.634781 1.754615 4.013356 7.912101 14.605996
2025-09-28 0.021948 0.164298 0.622277 1.780776 4.167106 8.345361 15.595550
2025-10-05 0.017807 0.151728 0.608599 1.802350 4.312390 8.768574 16.580333
2025-10-12 0.014610 0.141511 0.599396 1.832638 4.475414 9.227105 17.634507
2025-10-19 0.011655 0.130202 0.584484 1.847636 4.608317 9.637075 18.619383
2025-10-26 0.008268 0.112606 0.545683 1.800560 4.612771 9.820204 19.232614
2025-11-02 0.006287 0.101971 0.526634 1.799306 4.709485 10.169241 20.130678